With Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open gubernatorial contest heads to a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 followed by ranked-choice voting on November 3, yielding trader consensus clustered around Democrat Tom Begich at 25% and Republicans Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson near 21% amid a fragmented 18-candidate field. Begich holds a polling edge from February surveys like Lake Research Partners (38% first-round lead over Wilson's 16%), but GOP enthusiasm surged after Wilson's dominant win in the March 29 Kenai Peninsula District 6 Republican straw poll (17 votes to next-best's 6), signaling potential consolidation. Tight dynamics stem from primary vote-splitting risks and undecideds (23% in recent polls); separation could arise from endorsements, fundraising surges beyond February's six-figure reports for top contenders, candidate dropouts, or fresh polling ahead of the June 1 filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
Трег Тейлор 8.2%
$385,178 Объем
$385,178 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
21%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Трег Тейлор
23%

Нэнси Дальстром
8%

Лиза Мурковски
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
Трег Тейлор 8.2%
$385,178 Объем
$385,178 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
21%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Трег Тейлор
23%

Нэнси Дальстром
8%

Лиза Мурковски
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open gubernatorial contest heads to a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 followed by ranked-choice voting on November 3, yielding trader consensus clustered around Democrat Tom Begich at 25% and Republicans Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson near 21% amid a fragmented 18-candidate field. Begich holds a polling edge from February surveys like Lake Research Partners (38% first-round lead over Wilson's 16%), but GOP enthusiasm surged after Wilson's dominant win in the March 29 Kenai Peninsula District 6 Republican straw poll (17 votes to next-best's 6), signaling potential consolidation. Tight dynamics stem from primary vote-splitting risks and undecideds (23% in recent polls); separation could arise from endorsements, fundraising surges beyond February's six-figure reports for top contenders, candidate dropouts, or fresh polling ahead of the June 1 filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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