In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability for the nonpartisan primary on August 18, reflecting his lead in the latest February polling average (22%) amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 14%. Incumbent Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%), former AG Treg Taylor (10.9%), waste management founder Bernadette Wilson (14%, backed by Rep. Byron Donalds), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (7.8%) split conservative support, echoing 2022 dynamics when GOP vote-splitting aided Democrat Mary Peltola's House win. Consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline dropouts, or fresh polls before top-four advancement to ranked-choice general election; Begich's fundraising strength and Southeast tour sustain momentum in this low-information early phase.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 11%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,195 Объем
$374,195 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
11%

Лиза Мурковски
6%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 11%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,195 Объем
$374,195 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
11%

Лиза Мурковски
6%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability for the nonpartisan primary on August 18, reflecting his lead in the latest February polling average (22%) amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 14%. Incumbent Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%), former AG Treg Taylor (10.9%), waste management founder Bernadette Wilson (14%, backed by Rep. Byron Donalds), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (7.8%) split conservative support, echoing 2022 dynamics when GOP vote-splitting aided Democrat Mary Peltola's House win. Consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline dropouts, or fresh polls before top-four advancement to ranked-choice general election; Begich's fundraising strength and Southeast tour sustain momentum in this low-information early phase.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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