With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 keeps the gubernatorial race highly competitive, fragmenting Republican support across over a dozen candidates and elevating Democrat Tom Begich's trader consensus at 24.5% via his February Lake Research Partners poll lead (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and name recognition as former Senate minority leader. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.2%) trail closely on grassroots pledges like no-new-taxes commitments and recent campaigning, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins hover around 11-12%. February fundraising reports highlighted self-funding surges, but separation awaits spring polls, major endorsements, candidate forums, or U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's potential entry before ranked-choice general election resolution on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 22%
Трег Тейлор 16.2%
Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс 12%
$738,495 Объем
$738,495 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Трег Тейлор
16%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
12%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Клик Бишоп
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Брюс Уолден
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
2%

Лиза Мурковски
1%

Шелли Хьюз
1%

Эдна ДеВриз
1%

Адам Крам
1%

Хэнк Кролл
<1%

Мэтт Кламан
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 22%
Трег Тейлор 16.2%
Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс 12%
$738,495 Объем
$738,495 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Трег Тейлор
16%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
12%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Клик Бишоп
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Брюс Уолден
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
2%

Лиза Мурковски
1%

Шелли Хьюз
1%

Эдна ДеВриз
1%

Адам Крам
1%

Хэнк Кролл
<1%

Мэтт Кламан
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 keeps the gubernatorial race highly competitive, fragmenting Republican support across over a dozen candidates and elevating Democrat Tom Begich's trader consensus at 24.5% via his February Lake Research Partners poll lead (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and name recognition as former Senate minority leader. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.2%) trail closely on grassroots pledges like no-new-taxes commitments and recent campaigning, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins hover around 11-12%. February fundraising reports highlighted self-funding surges, but separation awaits spring polls, major endorsements, candidate forums, or U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's potential entry before ranked-choice general election resolution on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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