Republican incumbent Tommy Tuberville holds a commanding lead in the Alabama Senate race, with trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit polling advantages over Democrat Kenton Booker in recent surveys from outlets like Emerson and Fabrizio. Alabama's deep-red status, evidenced by Tuberville's 21-point 2020 win over Doug Jones and the state's R+15 partisan lean, bolsters this positioning amid national GOP momentum in Senate battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election. Scenarios that could challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, significant Tuberville gaffe, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Алабамы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Алабамы
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
94%
Демократ
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$5,946 Объем
94%
Демократ
$3,532 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Tommy Tuberville holds a commanding lead in the Alabama Senate race, with trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit polling advantages over Democrat Kenton Booker in recent surveys from outlets like Emerson and Fabrizio. Alabama's deep-red status, evidenced by Tuberville's 21-point 2020 win over Doug Jones and the state's R+15 partisan lean, bolsters this positioning amid national GOP momentum in Senate battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election. Scenarios that could challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, significant Tuberville gaffe, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$9,478Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Tommy Tuberville holds a commanding lead in the Alabama Senate race, with trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit polling advantages over Democrat Kenton Booker in recent surveys from outlets like Emerson and Fabrizio. Alabama's deep-red status, evidenced by Tuberville's 21-point 2020 win over Doug Jones and the state's R+15 partisan lean, bolsters this positioning amid national GOP momentum in Senate battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election. Scenarios that could challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, significant Tuberville gaffe, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$9,478Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tommy Tuberville holds a commanding lead in the Alabama Senate race, with trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit polling advantages over Democrat Kenton Booker in recent surveys from outlets like Emerson and Fabrizio. Alabama's deep-red status, evidenced by Tuberville's 21-point 2020 win over Doug Jones and the state's R+15 partisan lean, bolsters this positioning amid national GOP momentum in Senate battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election. Scenarios that could challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, significant Tuberville gaffe, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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