U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's 98.7% implied probability in the Alabama Republican primary for governor reflects trader consensus on his insurmountable advantages: statewide name recognition from coaching Auburn football, incumbency advantages, dominant fundraising exceeding $11 million versus challengers' minimal hauls, and early polling leads like 63% to Ken McFeeters' 4%. The Alabama GOP dismissed McFeeters' residency challenges in early February, citing compliance with the state constitution's seven-year requirement, despite McFeeters' March lawsuit alleging Florida ties—further diluted by a circuit judge's recent recusal. With the May 19 primary approaching, barriers to upset include a successful disqualification ruling, late scandal, or consolidated anti-Tuberville turnout, though low-competition GOP primaries historically favor frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$23,993 Объем
$23,993 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Томми Тубервилл
99%
Кен МакФитерс
1%
$23,993 Объем
$23,993 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Томми Тубервилл
$14,172 Объем
99%
Кен МакФитерс
$9,822 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's 98.7% implied probability in the Alabama Republican primary for governor reflects trader consensus on his insurmountable advantages: statewide name recognition from coaching Auburn football, incumbency advantages, dominant fundraising exceeding $11 million versus challengers' minimal hauls, and early polling leads like 63% to Ken McFeeters' 4%. The Alabama GOP dismissed McFeeters' residency challenges in early February, citing compliance with the state constitution's seven-year requirement, despite McFeeters' March lawsuit alleging Florida ties—further diluted by a circuit judge's recent recusal. With the May 19 primary approaching, barriers to upset include a successful disqualification ruling, late scandal, or consolidated anti-Tuberville turnout, though low-competition GOP primaries historically favor frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
Объем
$23,993Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's 98.7% implied probability in the Alabama Republican primary for governor reflects trader consensus on his insurmountable advantages: statewide name recognition from coaching Auburn football, incumbency advantages, dominant fundraising exceeding $11 million versus challengers' minimal hauls, and early polling leads like 63% to Ken McFeeters' 4%. The Alabama GOP dismissed McFeeters' residency challenges in early February, citing compliance with the state constitution's seven-year requirement, despite McFeeters' March lawsuit alleging Florida ties—further diluted by a circuit judge's recent recusal. With the May 19 primary approaching, barriers to upset include a successful disqualification ruling, late scandal, or consolidated anti-Tuberville turnout, though low-competition GOP primaries historically favor frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$23,993Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's 98.7% implied probability in the Alabama Republican primary for governor reflects trader consensus on his insurmountable advantages: statewide name recognition from coaching Auburn football, incumbency advantages, dominant fundraising exceeding $11 million versus challengers' minimal hauls, and early polling leads like 63% to Ken McFeeters' 4%. The Alabama GOP dismissed McFeeters' residency challenges in early February, citing compliance with the state constitution's seven-year requirement, despite McFeeters' March lawsuit alleging Florida ties—further diluted by a circuit judge's recent recusal. With the May 19 primary approaching, barriers to upset include a successful disqualification ruling, late scandal, or consolidated anti-Tuberville turnout, though low-competition GOP primaries historically favor frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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