Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$771K Vol.

$90.0K Liq.

62

Ends em 27 dias

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$286K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

7

Ends em 27 dias

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

9%

$55.4K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

3%

$19M Vol.

$573K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends em 27 dias

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

14%

$25M Vol.

$352K today

$2M Liq.

16

Ends em 3 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

25%

$13M Vol.

$60.8K today

$466K Liq.

24

Ends em 9 meses

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

34%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$55.2K today

$341K Liq.

892

Ends em 9 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$72.9K Vol.

$51.3K today

$322K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

30%

May 31

$838K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

123

Ends em 27 dias

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

86%

$468K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

49

Ends em 3 meses

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

24%

Leadership Change

$30.9K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$105K Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

84%

Epic Fury

$623 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

64%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$6M Vol.

$52.2K today

$924K Liq.

73

Ends em 9 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$476K Vol.

$73.2K Liq.

29

Ends em 9 meses

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

10%

$121K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$391K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

25%

December 31

$159K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

50

Ends em 9 meses

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$147K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

10%

$905K Vol.

$107K Liq.

29

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíDer Supremo.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for LíDer Supremo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $78.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leadership change by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíDer Supremo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.