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Partes previsões e probabilidades

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Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

48%

PSD

$21.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

4

Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?

Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?

18%

$857 Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

55%

Labour Party

$938 Vol.

$965 Liq.

8

Ends em 5 meses

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

18%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Reunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?

Reunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?

100%

31 de julho

$58M Vol.

$2M today

$237K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?

Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?

98%

Suíça

$16M Vol.

$981K today

$867K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

57%

Rússia Unida (ER)

$12M Vol.

$134K today

$814K Liq.

231

Ends em 3 meses

Quem assinará o acordo EUA x Irão?

Quem assinará o acordo EUA x Irão?

23%

Abbas Araghchi

$1M Vol.

$220K today

$494K Liq.

57

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

10%

31 de julho

$11M Vol.

$204K today

$421K Liq.

157

Ends há 21 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

28%

31 de julho

$8M Vol.

$227K today

$127K Liq.

437

Ends há 21 dias

Equilíbrio de Poder: Médio Prazo 2026

Equilíbrio de Poder: Médio Prazo 2026

42%

Democratas Vencem Tudo

$8M Vol.

$988K Liq.

217

Ends em 4 meses

Quem participará da próxima reunião diplomática EUA x Irã?

Quem participará da próxima reunião diplomática EUA x Irã?

98%

J.D. Vance

$2M Vol.

$160K today

$139K Liq.

115

Ends em 9 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

31%

December 31

$507K Vol.

$195K Liq.

25

Ends em 6 meses

Quem se reunirá com o Irão até 30 de junho?

Quem se reunirá com o Irão até 30 de junho?

98%

Steve Witkoff

$156K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

19%

United States

$1M Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Ucrânia assina acordo de paz com a Rússia até 30 de junho?

Ucrânia assina acordo de paz com a Rússia até 30 de junho?

1%

$756K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Quais países assinarão o acordo EUA x Irã até 30 de junho?

Quais países assinarão o acordo EUA x Irã até 30 de junho?

19%

Catar

$149K Vol.

$142K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 dias

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

98%

June 30

$409K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 dias

Reunião diplomática Israel x Líbano por...?

Reunião diplomática Israel x Líbano por...?

87%

30 de junho

$169K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

12

Ends em 9 dias

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia

94%

Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S)

$1M Vol.

$186K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Partes.

Polymarket currently hosts 516 active markets for Partes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $120.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Reunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Reunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 31 de julho. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Partes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.