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Partes previsões e probabilidades

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Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

87%

Dem-Rep

$81.2K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 5 dias

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

99%

Democrats (D)

$242K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

28

Ends há 2 meses

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

93%

Social Democrats

$144K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

16

Ends há 2 meses

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

71%

Labour Party

$879 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

8

Ends em 5 meses

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

82%

UDMR

$14.8K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

3

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

4%

May 31

$2.0K Vol.

$50 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$552K Liq.

75

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Likud

$9.2K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

12%

$6.1K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$139K Vol.

$59.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

47%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$819K Liq.

201

Ends em 5 meses

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

70%

PAN

$111 Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

57%

United Russia (ER)

$9M Vol.

$107K today

$677K Liq.

205

Ends em 4 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$26.8K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$6.8K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

CA-15 House Election Winner

CA-15 House Election Winner

96%

Democratic Party

$115K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

77%

Democratic Party

$504 Vol.

$115 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

NY-19 House Election Winner

NY-19 House Election Winner

52%

Democratic Party

$274 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

CA-03 House Election Winner

CA-03 House Election Winner

88%

Democratic Party

$26.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Partes.

Polymarket currently hosts 541 active markets for Partes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon register any party before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Partes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.