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Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Megan Degenfelder 74.8%

Eric Barlow 16.1%

Mark Gordon 2.8%

Harriet Hageman 1.4%

Polymarket

$48,145 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder 74.8%

Eric Barlow 16.1%

Mark Gordon 2.8%

Harriet Hageman 1.4%

Polymarket

$48,145 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder

$4,366 Vol.

75%

Eric Barlow

$17,657 Vol.

15%

Mark Gordon

$1,438 Vol.

3%

Harriet Hageman

$2,069 Vol.

1%

Chuck Gray

$1,504 Vol.

1%

Brent Bien

$2,174 Vol.

1%

Joseph Kibler

$6,862 Vol.

1%

Ogen Driskill

$1,119 Vol.

1%

Bo Biteman

$2,302 Vol.

<1%

Tara Nethercott

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

Paul Ulrich

$1,334 Vol.

<1%

Reid Rasner

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

Chip Neiman

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

Curt Meier

$1,235 Vol.

<1%

Cheri Steinmetz

$1,219 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder at 75% implied probability to win the Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement—hailed as a game-changer in the deep-red state—and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's March 25 backing, which solidified her frontrunner status among a crowded field of 15 candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow trails at 15%, leveraging legislative experience on budget issues amid expectations of a multi-million-dollar contest, while incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon lags at 3% amid term-limit questions and intra-party tensions. No public polls have emerged post-legislative session, leaving odds shaped by endorsements and fundraising momentum in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,145
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder at 75% implied probability to win the Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement—hailed as a game-changer in the deep-red state—and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's March 25 backing, which solidified her frontrunner status among a crowded field of 15 candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow trails at 15%, leveraging legislative experience on budget issues amid expectations of a multi-million-dollar contest, while incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon lags at 3% amid term-limit questions and intra-party tensions. No public polls have emerged post-legislative session, leaving odds shaped by endorsements and fundraising momentum in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,145
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megan Degenfelder" at 75%, followed by "Eric Barlow" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $48.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Megan Degenfelder" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Barlow" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.