Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder at 75% implied probability to win the Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement—hailed as a game-changer in the deep-red state—and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's March 25 backing, which solidified her frontrunner status among a crowded field of 15 candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow trails at 15%, leveraging legislative experience on budget issues amid expectations of a multi-million-dollar contest, while incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon lags at 3% amid term-limit questions and intra-party tensions. No public polls have emerged post-legislative session, leaving odds shaped by endorsements and fundraising momentum in this low-turnout primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMegan Degenfelder 74.8%
Eric Barlow 16.1%
Mark Gordon 2.8%
Harriet Hageman 1.4%
$48,145 Vol.
$48,145 Vol.
Megan Degenfelder
75%
Eric Barlow
15%
Mark Gordon
3%
Harriet Hageman
1%
Chuck Gray
1%
Brent Bien
1%
Joseph Kibler
1%
Ogen Driskill
1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Megan Degenfelder 74.8%
Eric Barlow 16.1%
Mark Gordon 2.8%
Harriet Hageman 1.4%
$48,145 Vol.
$48,145 Vol.
Megan Degenfelder
75%
Eric Barlow
15%
Mark Gordon
3%
Harriet Hageman
1%
Chuck Gray
1%
Brent Bien
1%
Joseph Kibler
1%
Ogen Driskill
1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder at 75% implied probability to win the Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement—hailed as a game-changer in the deep-red state—and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's March 25 backing, which solidified her frontrunner status among a crowded field of 15 candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow trails at 15%, leveraging legislative experience on budget issues amid expectations of a multi-million-dollar contest, while incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon lags at 3% amid term-limit questions and intra-party tensions. No public polls have emerged post-legislative session, leaving odds shaped by endorsements and fundraising momentum in this low-turnout primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions