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Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin

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Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin

$64,965 Vol.

Polymarket

$64,965 Vol.

Market icon

Democrata

$10,166 Vol.

76%

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Republicano

$54,799 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 76% to win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, driven by early polling averages showing Democratic hopefuls leading hypothetical matchups against Republicans by 10+ points in this battleground state. Incumbent Governor Tony Evers (D) is term-limited, opening the race, but Democrats benefit from superior statewide turnout among key voting blocs like suburban women and union households, plus recent state-level victories such as the 2023 Supreme Court liberal majority. No major candidate declarations or primaries in the past 30 days, leaving GOP at 18% amid a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner post-2024 national results; upcoming filing deadlines and fundraising reports could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$64,965
Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 76% to win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, driven by early polling averages showing Democratic hopefuls leading hypothetical matchups against Republicans by 10+ points in this battleground state. Incumbent Governor Tony Evers (D) is term-limited, opening the race, but Democrats benefit from superior statewide turnout among key voting blocs like suburban women and union households, plus recent state-level victories such as the 2023 Supreme Court liberal majority. No major candidate declarations or primaries in the past 30 days, leaving GOP at 18% amid a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner post-2024 national results; upcoming filing deadlines and fundraising reports could shift dynamics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 76% to win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, driven by early polling averages showing Democratic hopefuls leading hypothetical matchups against Republicans by 10+ points in this battleground state. Incumbent Governor Tony Evers (D) is term-limited, opening the race, but Democrats benefit from superior statewide turnout among key voting blocs like suburban women and union households, plus recent state-level victories such as the 2023 Supreme Court liberal majority. No major candidate declarations or primaries in the past 30 days, leaving GOP at 18% amid a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner post-2024 national results; upcoming filing deadlines and fundraising reports could shift dynamics.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrata" at 76%, followed by "Republicano" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin" has generated $65K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin" is "Democrata" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicano" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.