Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 76% to win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, driven by early polling averages showing Democratic hopefuls leading hypothetical matchups against Republicans by 10+ points in this battleground state. Incumbent Governor Tony Evers (D) is term-limited, opening the race, but Democrats benefit from superior statewide turnout among key voting blocs like suburban women and union households, plus recent state-level victories such as the 2023 Supreme Court liberal majority. No major candidate declarations or primaries in the past 30 days, leaving GOP at 18% amid a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner post-2024 national results; upcoming filing deadlines and fundraising reports could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
$64,965 Vol.
$64,965 Vol.

Democrata
76%

Republicano
18%
$64,965 Vol.
$64,965 Vol.

Democrata
76%

Republicano
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 76% to win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, driven by early polling averages showing Democratic hopefuls leading hypothetical matchups against Republicans by 10+ points in this battleground state. Incumbent Governor Tony Evers (D) is term-limited, opening the race, but Democrats benefit from superior statewide turnout among key voting blocs like suburban women and union households, plus recent state-level victories such as the 2023 Supreme Court liberal majority. No major candidate declarations or primaries in the past 30 days, leaving GOP at 18% amid a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner post-2024 national results; upcoming filing deadlines and fundraising reports could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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