Market icon
Política·Ganhe 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Market icon
Política·Ganhe 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

jun 30

dez 31

jan 20, 2029

jun 30

dez 31

jan 20, 2029

65% acaso
Polymarket

$31,174 Vol.

65% acaso
Polymarket

$31,174 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 64.5% implied probability of President Trump facing House impeachment before his January 2029 term ends, propelled by escalating Iran tensions—including recent US strikes, disputed diplomatic talks, and a congressional war powers resolution—that have fueled mass protests like "No Kings" rallies and contributed to his falling approval ratings. Republicans hold a narrow House majority, blocking current efforts such as H.Res. 939 from progressive Democrats, but the 2026 midterms represent the critical path for a Democratic flip, echoing historical patterns where the president's party loses seats. Leadership like Pelosi has left the door open without committing, amid ongoing foreign policy pressures and midterm forecasts favoring opposition gains.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$31,174
Data de Término
20 jan 2029
Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 64.5% implied probability of President Trump facing House impeachment before his January 2029 term ends, propelled by escalating Iran tensions—including recent US strikes, disputed diplomatic talks, and a congressional war powers resolution—that have fueled mass protests like "No Kings" rallies and contributed to his falling approval ratings. Republicans hold a narrow House majority, blocking current efforts such as H.Res. 939 from progressive Democrats, but the 2026 midterms represent the critical path for a Democratic flip, echoing historical patterns where the president's party loses seats. Leadership like Pelosi has left the door open without committing, amid ongoing foreign policy pressures and midterm forecasts favoring opposition gains.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$31,174
Data de Término
20 jan 2029
Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 65% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 65¢, the market collectively assigns a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is 65% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.