Será que Israel atacará Gaza em...?
$1,815,301 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
20 de janeiro
$26,226 Vol.
1%
20 de janeiro
$26,226 Vol.
1%
22 de janeiro
$8,427 Vol.
58%
22 de janeiro
$8,427 Vol.
58%
23 de janeiro
$3,204 Vol.
34%
23 de janeiro
$3,204 Vol.
34%
24 de janeiro
$1,917 Vol.
37%
24 de janeiro
$1,917 Vol.
37%
25 de janeiro
$23 Vol.
47%
25 de janeiro
$23 Vol.
47%
26 de janeiro
$45 Vol.
47%
26 de janeiro
$45 Vol.
47%
27 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
27 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
28 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
45%
28 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
45%
29 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
29 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
30 de janeiro
$10 Vol.
47%
30 de janeiro
$10 Vol.
47%
31 de janeiro
$28 Vol.
46%
31 de janeiro
$28 Vol.
46%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Criado em: Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,815,301Data de término
Jan 31, 2026Criado em
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Será que Israel atacará Gaza em...?
$1,815,301 Vol.
20 de janeiro
$26,226 Vol.
1%
22 de janeiro
$8,427 Vol.
58%
23 de janeiro
$3,204 Vol.
34%
24 de janeiro
$1,917 Vol.
37%
25 de janeiro
$23 Vol.
47%
26 de janeiro
$45 Vol.
47%
27 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
28 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
45%
29 de janeiro
$12 Vol.
48%
30 de janeiro
$10 Vol.
47%
31 de janeiro
$28 Vol.
46%
Sobre
Volume
$1,815,301Data de término
Jan 31, 2026Criado em
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cuidado com links externos.
Cuidado com links externos.

Cuidado com links externos.
Cuidado com links externos.