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Política·Primárias

Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?

Janeese Lewis George 46%

Kenyan McDuffie 44%

Gary Goodweather 2.8%

Brianne K. Nadeau 1.4%

Polymarket

$108,758 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 46%

Kenyan McDuffie 44%

Gary Goodweather 2.8%

Brianne K. Nadeau 1.4%

Polymarket

$108,758 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$6,007 Vol.

46%

Kenyan McDuffie

$28,152 Vol.

44%

Gary Goodweather

$16,152 Vol.

3%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$1,552 Vol.

1%

Muriel Bowser

$480 Vol.

1%

Karl Racine

$781 Vol.

1%

Robert White Jr.

$3,214 Vol.

1%

Brian Schwalb

$646 Vol.

1%

Christina Henderson

$33,964 Vol.

1%

Brooke Pinto

$14,787 Vol.

1%

Phil Mendelson

$2,530 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Parker

$491 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 48% implied probability in the 2026 Democratic D.C. mayoral primary, ahead of former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 31%, as both solidify frontrunner status to succeed incumbent Muriel Bowser amid her low prospects. Mid-March candidate forums, including tense Anacostia and Free DC clashes over Pepco utility costs, public safety measures like juvenile curfews, housing affordability, and experience levels, have intensified scrutiny of their policy contrasts and galvanized early support. McDuffie's April 1 endorsement from former Council Chair Linda Cropp highlights his coalition-building record, while Lewis George's recent housing expansion plan drew backing from Greater Greater Washington. With petitions submitted by late March ahead of the June 16 primary, momentum in battleground wards and voter turnout remain pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$108,758
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 48% implied probability in the 2026 Democratic D.C. mayoral primary, ahead of former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 31%, as both solidify frontrunner status to succeed incumbent Muriel Bowser amid her low prospects. Mid-March candidate forums, including tense Anacostia and Free DC clashes over Pepco utility costs, public safety measures like juvenile curfews, housing affordability, and experience levels, have intensified scrutiny of their policy contrasts and galvanized early support. McDuffie's April 1 endorsement from former Council Chair Linda Cropp highlights his coalition-building record, while Lewis George's recent housing expansion plan drew backing from Greater Greater Washington. With petitions submitted by late March ahead of the June 16 primary, momentum in battleground wards and voter turnout remain pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$108,758
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 46%, followed by "Kenyan McDuffie" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" has generated $108.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kenyan McDuffie" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.