Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

$1,388,778 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,388,778 Vol.

Polymarket

Kevin Spacey

$21,171 Vol.

18%

Richard Branson

$17,092 Vol.

14%

Woody Allen

$12,167 Vol.

12%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$56,817 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$0 Vol.

10%

Noam Chomsky

$24,268 Vol.

9%

Bill Gates

$95,914 Vol.

8%

Bill Clinton

$257,046 Vol.

8%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,148 Vol.

8%

Jay-Z

$449,504 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump

$130,723 Vol.

5%

Bill Cosby

$8,062 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$152,789 Vol.

4%

Elon Musk

$77,874 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,684 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,947 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,573 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—Richard Branson leading at 14%, Woody Allen at 13%, Steve Bannon at 11%—to high-profile figures visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of 3.5 million files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Flight manifests and emails reference plane trips to Epstein properties, but distinguishing actual island presence from mere associations remains challenging amid denials, including Bill Clinton's sworn testimony against entry. No comprehensive verified visitor list exists, with recent Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's February admission highlighting scrutiny gaps. Congressional hearings and victim lawsuits before June 30 resolution could shift odds via new clarifications.

Trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—Richard Branson leading at 14%, Woody Allen at 13%, Steve Bannon at 11%—to high-profile figures visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of 3.5 million files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Flight manifests and emails reference plane trips to Epstein properties, but distinguishing actual island presence from mere associations remains challenging amid denials, including Bill Clinton's sworn testimony against entry. No comprehensive verified visitor list exists, with recent Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's February admission highlighting scrutiny gaps. Congressional hearings and victim lawsuits before June 30 resolution could shift odds via new clarifications.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—Richard Branson leading at 14%, Woody Allen at 13%, Steve Bannon at 11%—to high-profile figures visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of 3.5 million files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Flight manifests and emails reference plane trips to Epstein properties, but distinguishing actual island presence from mere associations remains challenging amid denials, including Bill Clinton's sworn testimony against entry. No comprehensive verified visitor list exists, with recent Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's February admission highlighting scrutiny gaps. Congressional hearings and victim lawsuits before June 30 resolution could shift odds via new clarifications.

Trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—Richard Branson leading at 14%, Woody Allen at 13%, Steve Bannon at 11%—to high-profile figures visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of 3.5 million files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Flight manifests and emails reference plane trips to Epstein properties, but distinguishing actual island presence from mere associations remains challenging amid denials, including Bill Clinton's sworn testimony against entry. No comprehensive verified visitor list exists, with recent Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's February admission highlighting scrutiny gaps. Congressional hearings and victim lawsuits before June 30 resolution could shift odds via new clarifications.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin Spacey" at 18%, followed by "Richard Branson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is "Kevin Spacey" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Branson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.