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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir

Bert Mizusawa 56%

David Williams 24%

Kim Farington 14.3%

Chuck Smith 6.6%

Polymarket

$2,377,712 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa 56%

David Williams 24%

Kim Farington 14.3%

Chuck Smith 6.6%

Polymarket

$2,377,712 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa

$6,271 Vol.

56%

David Williams

$13,771 Vol.

24%

Kim Farington

$449,688 Vol.

14%

Chuck Smith

$4,635 Vol.

7%

Jason Miyares

$14,995 Vol.

2%

Bryce Reeves

$35,092 Vol.

1%

Al Mina

$1,839,794 Vol.

1%

Winsome Earle-Sears

$10,643 Vol.

1%

Alex De Paula

$2,822 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, favors retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 56% implied probability, reflecting his West Point pedigree, Harvard credentials, and prior statewide runs that position him as the most electable challenger to incumbent Mark Warner. David Williams trails at 23%, buoyed by his U.S. Marine Corps Reserves colonel service appealing to the GOP base in a fragmented field lacking a consensus nominee. Kim Farington holds 14% with the strongest early fundraising at over $87,000, per state disclosures, while lower-tier candidates like Chuck Smith lag amid thin trading volume. No public primary polls exist, and the past 30 days saw no major GOP catalysts beyond Warner's March 16 re-election filing, leaving odds volatile ahead of potential endorsements or Q1 finance reports.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,377,712
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, favors retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 56% implied probability, reflecting his West Point pedigree, Harvard credentials, and prior statewide runs that position him as the most electable challenger to incumbent Mark Warner. David Williams trails at 23%, buoyed by his U.S. Marine Corps Reserves colonel service appealing to the GOP base in a fragmented field lacking a consensus nominee. Kim Farington holds 14% with the strongest early fundraising at over $87,000, per state disclosures, while lower-tier candidates like Chuck Smith lag amid thin trading volume. No public primary polls exist, and the past 30 days saw no major GOP catalysts beyond Warner's March 16 re-election filing, leaving odds volatile ahead of potential endorsements or Q1 finance reports.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,377,712
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 56%, followed by "David Williams" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" is "Bert Mizusawa" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Williams" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.