Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Democrata
28%
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,221 Vol.
72%
Partido Democrata
$28,397 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$52,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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