Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball calling it Likely Republican. The district's rural Southside character, including areas around Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a partisan voter index of R+6 that has historically favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Republican John McGuire faces a competitive primary on August 4, while Democratic contenders including Cooke Harvey and Chris Register prepare for the general ballot. A recent state Supreme Court decision invalidating proposed mid-decade redistricting maps removed Democratic hopes of shifting boundaries in their favor, reinforcing the district's existing lean and aligning trader consensus with established electoral fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Democrata
29%
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,221 Vol.
72%
Partido Democrata
$28,397 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball calling it Likely Republican. The district's rural Southside character, including areas around Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a partisan voter index of R+6 that has historically favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Republican John McGuire faces a competitive primary on August 4, while Democratic contenders including Cooke Harvey and Chris Register prepare for the general ballot. A recent state Supreme Court decision invalidating proposed mid-decade redistricting maps removed Democratic hopes of shifting boundaries in their favor, reinforcing the district's existing lean and aligning trader consensus with established electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$52,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball calling it Likely Republican. The district's rural Southside character, including areas around Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a partisan voter index of R+6 that has historically favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Republican John McGuire faces a competitive primary on August 4, while Democratic contenders including Cooke Harvey and Chris Register prepare for the general ballot. A recent state Supreme Court decision invalidating proposed mid-decade redistricting maps removed Democratic hopes of shifting boundaries in their favor, reinforcing the district's existing lean and aligning trader consensus with established electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball calling it Likely Republican. The district's rural Southside character, including areas around Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a partisan voter index of R+6 that has historically favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Republican John McGuire faces a competitive primary on August 4, while Democratic contenders including Cooke Harvey and Chris Register prepare for the general ballot. A recent state Supreme Court decision invalidating proposed mid-decade redistricting maps removed Democratic hopes of shifting boundaries in their favor, reinforcing the district's existing lean and aligning trader consensus with established electoral fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions