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Política·Eleições Globais

Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)

Market icon
Política·Eleições Globais

Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)

59-60% 44.5%

<56% 38.0%

58-59% 8.8%

60-61% 4.8%

Polymarket

$307,116 Vol.

59-60% 44.5%

<56% 38.0%

58-59% 8.8%

60-61% 4.8%

Polymarket

$307,116 Vol.

<56%

$12,025 Vol.

38%

56-57%

$9,358 Vol.

3%

57-58%

$13,352 Vol.

3%

58-59%

$146,413 Vol.

9%

59-60%

$55,251 Vol.

45%

60-61%

$52,593 Vol.

5%

61-62%

$9,365 Vol.

4%

>62%

$8,759 Vol.

3%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on the 2025 Honduran general election turnout tilts toward the 59-60% bracket at 44.5%, closely trailed by under 56% at 38%, reflecting uncertainty over the National Electoral Council's (CNE) final certification amid a protracted, dispute-filled process. Observer missions from Transparencia Electoral, the EU, and OAS reported 60.19% participation—3.93 million votes from 6.52 million registered voters—in their March 2026 final assessments, bolstering higher brackets after a manual recount of 15% of ballots resolved the razor-thin presidential race for Nasry Asfura in December 2025. Lingering skepticism stems from primaries' low turnout, technical glitches, fraud allegations, and institutional fragility, with potential invalidations or adjustments keeping lower odds viable; official CNE validation could tip the balance.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$307,116
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on the 2025 Honduran general election turnout tilts toward the 59-60% bracket at 44.5%, closely trailed by under 56% at 38%, reflecting uncertainty over the National Electoral Council's (CNE) final certification amid a protracted, dispute-filled process. Observer missions from Transparencia Electoral, the EU, and OAS reported 60.19% participation—3.93 million votes from 6.52 million registered voters—in their March 2026 final assessments, bolstering higher brackets after a manual recount of 15% of ballots resolved the razor-thin presidential race for Nasry Asfura in December 2025. Lingering skepticism stems from primaries' low turnout, technical glitches, fraud allegations, and institutional fragility, with potential invalidations or adjustments keeping lower odds viable; official CNE validation could tip the balance.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$307,116
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "59-60%" at 45%, followed by "<56%" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)" has generated $307.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)" is "59-60%" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<56%" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025 (grupos menores)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.