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Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.4%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$492,176,445 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.4%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$492,176,445 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,890,719 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,630,557 Vol.

20%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,277,739 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$7,982,318 Vol.

3%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,615,337 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,332,645 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,742,466 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,888,627 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$15,989,444 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,359,241 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,293,089 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$14,072,418 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,722,376 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$9,184,445 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,942,795 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,235,400 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,207,018 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,026,314 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,951,207 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,910,699 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,108,067 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,301,111 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,980,771 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$28,324,347 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,754,398 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,387,369 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,208,697 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,662,764 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$33,157,807 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$21,402,506 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,660,317 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,916,870 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$14,763,511 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,750,219 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$32,553,111 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% implied probability, driven by momentum from his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives and high-visibility reforms challenging federal health agencies amid ongoing policy debates. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% despite winning recent CPAC and prior Turning Point USA straw polls, with odds slipping over the past week due to administration challenges including economic pressures, Iran escalations, and internal GOP jockeying. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.4% share reflects rising donor-backed "draft" efforts and President Trump's recent informal polling of advisers favoring him over Vance, highlighting an open primary field post-Trump's term limit.

HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% implied probability, driven by momentum from his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives and high-visibility reforms challenging federal health agencies amid ongoing policy debates. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% despite winning recent CPAC and prior Turning Point USA straw polls, with odds slipping over the past week due to administration challenges including economic pressures, Iran escalations, and internal GOP jockeying. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.4% share reflects rising donor-backed "draft" efforts and President Trump's recent informal polling of advisers favoring him over Vance, highlighting an open primary field post-Trump's term limit.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% implied probability, driven by momentum from his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives and high-visibility reforms challenging federal health agencies amid ongoing policy debates. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% despite winning recent CPAC and prior Turning Point USA straw polls, with odds slipping over the past week due to administration challenges including economic pressures, Iran escalations, and internal GOP jockeying. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.4% share reflects rising donor-backed "draft" efforts and President Trump's recent informal polling of advisers favoring him over Vance, highlighting an open primary field post-Trump's term limit.

HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% implied probability, driven by momentum from his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives and high-visibility reforms challenging federal health agencies amid ongoing policy debates. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% despite winning recent CPAC and prior Turning Point USA straw polls, with odds slipping over the past week due to administration challenges including economic pressures, Iran escalations, and internal GOP jockeying. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.4% share reflects rising donor-backed "draft" efforts and President Trump's recent informal polling of advisers favoring him over Vance, highlighting an open primary field post-Trump's term limit.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $492.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.