Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 20.6%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$484,283,315 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 20.6%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$484,283,315 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$6,734,112 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$6,545,794 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$7,114,157 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$7,801,153 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,215,721 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$2,647,405 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$5,553,585 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,811,090 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$15,916,894 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,274,113 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$4,860,036 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$21,609,789 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,860,120 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$7,073,908 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,121,290 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$13,841,155 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$8,881,799 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,828,935 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$12,776,378 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$15,107,505 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$4,017,856 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,876,442 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$24,183,711 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,274,790 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$21,133,803 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$15,484,665 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$28,549,243 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$27,741,748 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Joe Kent

$1,663,557 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$27,483,183 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$14,445,116 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$32,839,728 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$22,743,732 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$10,378,839 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$31,905,069 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives appealing to populist voters, even after a March 16 federal court injunction halted vaccine schedule changes and amid growing Senate Republican resistance to his anti-vaccine policies. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds plunging to record lows this month due to reported indecision on a presidential bid amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, boosted by his visible leadership in Iran airstrikes and donor preferences over Vance in recent Trump polling, though slipping slightly this week ahead of 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives appealing to populist voters, even after a March 16 federal court injunction halted vaccine schedule changes and amid growing Senate Republican resistance to his anti-vaccine policies. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds plunging to record lows this month due to reported indecision on a presidential bid amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, boosted by his visible leadership in Iran airstrikes and donor preferences over Vance in recent Trump polling, though slipping slightly this week ahead of 2026 midterms.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives appealing to populist voters, even after a March 16 federal court injunction halted vaccine schedule changes and amid growing Senate Republican resistance to his anti-vaccine policies. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds plunging to record lows this month due to reported indecision on a presidential bid amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, boosted by his visible leadership in Iran airstrikes and donor preferences over Vance in recent Trump polling, though slipping slightly this week ahead of 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives appealing to populist voters, even after a March 16 federal court injunction halted vaccine schedule changes and amid growing Senate Republican resistance to his anti-vaccine policies. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds plunging to record lows this month due to reported indecision on a presidential bid amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, boosted by his visible leadership in Iran airstrikes and donor preferences over Vance in recent Trump polling, though slipping slightly this week ahead of 2026 midterms.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $484.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.