Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 47.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12 general election, reflecting the latest Ipsos poll from April 2 projecting FP with 41 escaños amid a fragmented field. Renovación Popular (RP) trails at 29.5%, buoyed by Rafael López Aliaga's strong presidential polling alongside Keiko Fujimori of FP, with both right-wing parties benefiting from coattails effects, established congressional dominance, and voter priorities on crime and instability. Recent Datum surveys through late March similarly show FP and RP leading vote intentions in the 27-district proportional system, where passing the electoral threshold favors larger lists; high undecided rates above 40% underscore volatility ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru
FP 49%
RP 30%
JP 11.3%
APP 4.0%
$31,999 Vol.
$31,999 Vol.

FP
52%

PL
<1%

AP
<1%

APP
4%

AvP
<1%

RP
30%

SP
4%

PP
<1%

JP
11%
FP 49%
RP 30%
JP 11.3%
APP 4.0%
$31,999 Vol.
$31,999 Vol.

FP
52%

PL
<1%

AP
<1%

APP
4%

AvP
<1%

RP
30%

SP
4%

PP
<1%

JP
11%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 47.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12 general election, reflecting the latest Ipsos poll from April 2 projecting FP with 41 escaños amid a fragmented field. Renovación Popular (RP) trails at 29.5%, buoyed by Rafael López Aliaga's strong presidential polling alongside Keiko Fujimori of FP, with both right-wing parties benefiting from coattails effects, established congressional dominance, and voter priorities on crime and instability. Recent Datum surveys through late March similarly show FP and RP leading vote intentions in the 27-district proportional system, where passing the electoral threshold favors larger lists; high undecided rates above 40% underscore volatility ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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