Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising—$7.3 million cash on hand versus Democrat Bob Harvie's $408,000—along with a GOP registration edge of 10,000 voters in Bucks County, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for Republicans in the PA-01 House race. A March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showed Fitzpatrick leading Harvie 48%-42% initially among likely voters, tightening to 45%-46% after issue briefs, while Public Policy Polling tied them at 41%-41%; both sponsored by Harvie. The crowded May 19 Democratic primary, featuring Harvie, Rob Strickler, Thomas Taft, and others, risks fragmenting opposition to Fitzpatrick's moderate brand in this battleground district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
53%
Democratic Party
29%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
53%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising—$7.3 million cash on hand versus Democrat Bob Harvie's $408,000—along with a GOP registration edge of 10,000 voters in Bucks County, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for Republicans in the PA-01 House race. A March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showed Fitzpatrick leading Harvie 48%-42% initially among likely voters, tightening to 45%-46% after issue briefs, while Public Policy Polling tied them at 41%-41%; both sponsored by Harvie. The crowded May 19 Democratic primary, featuring Harvie, Rob Strickler, Thomas Taft, and others, risks fragmenting opposition to Fitzpatrick's moderate brand in this battleground district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising—$7.3 million cash on hand versus Democrat Bob Harvie's $408,000—along with a GOP registration edge of 10,000 voters in Bucks County, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for Republicans in the PA-01 House race. A March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showed Fitzpatrick leading Harvie 48%-42% initially among likely voters, tightening to 45%-46% after issue briefs, while Public Policy Polling tied them at 41%-41%; both sponsored by Harvie. The crowded May 19 Democratic primary, featuring Harvie, Rob Strickler, Thomas Taft, and others, risks fragmenting opposition to Fitzpatrick's moderate brand in this battleground district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising—$7.3 million cash on hand versus Democrat Bob Harvie's $408,000—along with a GOP registration edge of 10,000 voters in Bucks County, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for Republicans in the PA-01 House race. A March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showed Fitzpatrick leading Harvie 48%-42% initially among likely voters, tightening to 45%-46% after issue briefs, while Public Policy Polling tied them at 41%-41%; both sponsored by Harvie. The crowded May 19 Democratic primary, featuring Harvie, Rob Strickler, Thomas Taft, and others, risks fragmenting opposition to Fitzpatrick's moderate brand in this battleground district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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