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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 15%

Cameron Kasky 2.5%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 15%

Cameron Kasky 2.5%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Brad Lander

$1,946 Vol.

83%

Dan Goldman

$1,140 Vol.

15%

Cameron Kasky

$619 Vol.

3%

Yuh-Line Niou

$557 Vol.

2%

Alexa Avilés

$834 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by progressive momentum including the influential 32BJ SEIU endorsement on April 2 and earlier backing from OurRevolution, after left-leaning challengers like Yuh-Line Niou cleared the field. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved the district map, solidifying the high-profile matchup against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, whose 13.5% odds reflect strengths in first-quarter fundraising and endorsements like DC37 but vulnerabilities from Lander's attacks on his pro-Israel PAC support amid a "People's Pledge" feud over dark money. Minor candidates trail amid a consolidated race in this safe Democratic district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,096
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by progressive momentum including the influential 32BJ SEIU endorsement on April 2 and earlier backing from OurRevolution, after left-leaning challengers like Yuh-Line Niou cleared the field. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved the district map, solidifying the high-profile matchup against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, whose 13.5% odds reflect strengths in first-quarter fundraising and endorsements like DC37 but vulnerabilities from Lander's attacks on his pro-Israel PAC support amid a "People's Pledge" feud over dark money. Minor candidates trail amid a consolidated race in this safe Democratic district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,096
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Lander" at 83%, followed by "Dan Goldman" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10" is "Brad Lander" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Goldman" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.