Trader consensus assigns 99.2% implied probability to 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30, reflecting live FlightAware data logging roughly 5,200 delays within, into, or out of the United States—a figure aligning with typical daily averages for domestic operations amid minor northeast winds noted in the FAA's morning air traffic report. Absent major weather events, ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks that plagued earlier March amid partial government shutdown pressures, on-time performance stabilized, with low cancellations around 200 per Polymarket-linked trackers. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, defining delays as 15+ minute late arrivals, are pending finalization but preliminary reports match this range closely. Rare challenges could arise from post-day data revisions incorporating late-filing flights or methodological adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$11,283 Vol.
$11,283 Vol.
30 mar 2026
5,000-5,500
99%
5,500-6,000
<1%
$11,283 Vol.
$11,283 Vol.
30 mar 2026
5,000-5,500
$2,611 Vol.
99%
5,500-6,000
$643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus assigns 99.2% implied probability to 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30, reflecting live FlightAware data logging roughly 5,200 delays within, into, or out of the United States—a figure aligning with typical daily averages for domestic operations amid minor northeast winds noted in the FAA's morning air traffic report. Absent major weather events, ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks that plagued earlier March amid partial government shutdown pressures, on-time performance stabilized, with low cancellations around 200 per Polymarket-linked trackers. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, defining delays as 15+ minute late arrivals, are pending finalization but preliminary reports match this range closely. Rare challenges could arise from post-day data revisions incorporating late-filing flights or methodological adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$11,283Data de Término
30 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus assigns 99.2% implied probability to 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30, reflecting live FlightAware data logging roughly 5,200 delays within, into, or out of the United States—a figure aligning with typical daily averages for domestic operations amid minor northeast winds noted in the FAA's morning air traffic report. Absent major weather events, ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks that plagued earlier March amid partial government shutdown pressures, on-time performance stabilized, with low cancellations around 200 per Polymarket-linked trackers. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, defining delays as 15+ minute late arrivals, are pending finalization but preliminary reports match this range closely. Rare challenges could arise from post-day data revisions incorporating late-filing flights or methodological adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$11,283Data de Término
30 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns 99.2% implied probability to 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30, reflecting live FlightAware data logging roughly 5,200 delays within, into, or out of the United States—a figure aligning with typical daily averages for domestic operations amid minor northeast winds noted in the FAA's morning air traffic report. Absent major weather events, ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks that plagued earlier March amid partial government shutdown pressures, on-time performance stabilized, with low cancellations around 200 per Polymarket-linked trackers. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, defining delays as 15+ minute late arrivals, are pending finalization but preliminary reports match this range closely. Rare challenges could arise from post-day data revisions incorporating late-filing flights or methodological adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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