Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands trader consensus at 88% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and record of achievements like the city's lowest homicide rate since the 1950s. Certified candidates were finalized after the February 26 filing deadline, featuring seven challengers including Nasheedah Singleton and Douglas Davis, widely viewed as lacking credible resources or broad support to mount a serious bid. Baraka's recent State of the City address and campaign rally at NJPAC three days ago emphasized progress in public safety, housing, and economic development, bolstering his path to a fourth term amid low voter turnout historically favoring established incumbents. With registration closing April 21, minor candidates trail far behind due to fragmented opposition.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 5.0%
Douglas Davis 4.0%
Debra Salters 3.2%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
5%
Douglas Davis
4%
Debra Salters
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 5.0%
Douglas Davis 4.0%
Debra Salters 3.2%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
5%
Douglas Davis
4%
Debra Salters
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands trader consensus at 88% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and record of achievements like the city's lowest homicide rate since the 1950s. Certified candidates were finalized after the February 26 filing deadline, featuring seven challengers including Nasheedah Singleton and Douglas Davis, widely viewed as lacking credible resources or broad support to mount a serious bid. Baraka's recent State of the City address and campaign rally at NJPAC three days ago emphasized progress in public safety, housing, and economic development, bolstering his path to a fourth term amid low voter turnout historically favoring established incumbents. With registration closing April 21, minor candidates trail far behind due to fragmented opposition.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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