Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10, 2026, primary with 86% of the vote, defeating challengers amid his pursuit of an 18th term in the solidly Democratic MS-02, which carries a Cook PVI of D+11 and includes majority-Black urban areas like Jackson. Republican Ron Eller, who lost to Thompson 62%-38% in 2024, won his party's nomination after a close primary, but the district's historical margins and Thompson's $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage underpin trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via scandals, Thompson's health at age 77, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
92%
Partido Republicano
9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$0 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10, 2026, primary with 86% of the vote, defeating challengers amid his pursuit of an 18th term in the solidly Democratic MS-02, which carries a Cook PVI of D+11 and includes majority-Black urban areas like Jackson. Republican Ron Eller, who lost to Thompson 62%-38% in 2024, won his party's nomination after a close primary, but the district's historical margins and Thompson's $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage underpin trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via scandals, Thompson's health at age 77, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10, 2026, primary with 86% of the vote, defeating challengers amid his pursuit of an 18th term in the solidly Democratic MS-02, which carries a Cook PVI of D+11 and includes majority-Black urban areas like Jackson. Republican Ron Eller, who lost to Thompson 62%-38% in 2024, won his party's nomination after a close primary, but the district's historical margins and Thompson's $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage underpin trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via scandals, Thompson's health at age 77, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10, 2026, primary with 86% of the vote, defeating challengers amid his pursuit of an 18th term in the solidly Democratic MS-02, which carries a Cook PVI of D+11 and includes majority-Black urban areas like Jackson. Republican Ron Eller, who lost to Thompson 62%-38% in 2024, won his party's nomination after a close primary, but the district's historical margins and Thompson's $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage underpin trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via scandals, Thompson's health at age 77, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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