Trader consensus in the Polymarket favors Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 52.5% implied probability to win the August 4 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, propelled by her campaign's March internal poll showing a 30% lead over Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), alongside strong net favorables (+36%) and endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Chris Murphy, plus state Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks. El-Sayed holds at 33% amid high favorables (+38%) but faces recent backlash over leaked audio on Iran's Ayatollah and a controversial Hasan Piker rally appearance. Stevens trails at 14.5% with weaker favorables (+16%) and internal polls depicting her slipping, underscoring a competitive three-way contest shaped by polling trends, endorsements, and candidate gaffes ahead of the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan
Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan
Mallory McMorrow 53%
Abdul El-Sayed 32%
Haley Stevens 15%
Sarah Anthony <1%
$381,104 Vol.
$381,104 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
53%
Abdul El-Sayed
32%
Haley Stevens
15%
Sarah Anthony
1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Mallory McMorrow 53%
Abdul El-Sayed 32%
Haley Stevens 15%
Sarah Anthony <1%
$381,104 Vol.
$381,104 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
53%
Abdul El-Sayed
32%
Haley Stevens
15%
Sarah Anthony
1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Polymarket favors Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 52.5% implied probability to win the August 4 Democratic primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, propelled by her campaign's March internal poll showing a 30% lead over Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), alongside strong net favorables (+36%) and endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Chris Murphy, plus state Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks. El-Sayed holds at 33% amid high favorables (+38%) but faces recent backlash over leaked audio on Iran's Ayatollah and a controversial Hasan Piker rally appearance. Stevens trails at 14.5% with weaker favorables (+16%) and internal polls depicting her slipping, underscoring a competitive three-way contest shaped by polling trends, endorsements, and candidate gaffes ahead of the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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