Following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary features a competitive three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, former health director Abdul El-Sayed, and Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 ballot drawing trader consensus toward McMorrow at 54.5% implied probability. Her lead stems from dominant small-donor fundraising—over $1.2 million and 55,000 contributions year-to-date—plus endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and Michigan Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks, signaling moderate appeal in swing-state battlegrounds. Recent polls vary: McMorrow's March internal showed her at 30%, while Impact Research (late February, released March 25) had El-Sayed at 38% and Stevens at 35%, reflecting progressive backing for El-Sayed amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan
Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan
Mallory McMorrow 55%
Abdul El-Sayed 32%
Haley Stevens 14%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$371,454 Vol.
$371,454 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
55%
Abdul El-Sayed
32%
Haley Stevens
14%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Mallory McMorrow 55%
Abdul El-Sayed 32%
Haley Stevens 14%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$371,454 Vol.
$371,454 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
55%
Abdul El-Sayed
32%
Haley Stevens
14%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary features a competitive three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, former health director Abdul El-Sayed, and Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 ballot drawing trader consensus toward McMorrow at 54.5% implied probability. Her lead stems from dominant small-donor fundraising—over $1.2 million and 55,000 contributions year-to-date—plus endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and Michigan Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks, signaling moderate appeal in swing-state battlegrounds. Recent polls vary: McMorrow's March internal showed her at 30%, while Impact Research (late February, released March 25) had El-Sayed at 38% and Stevens at 35%, reflecting progressive backing for El-Sayed amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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