Market icon
Política·Mayor

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

Market icon
Política·Mayor

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

Karen Bass 41%

Nithya Raman 36%

Spencer Pratt 12%

Rae Huang 3.4%

Polymarket

$700,587 Vol.

Karen Bass 41%

Nithya Raman 36%

Spencer Pratt 12%

Rae Huang 3.4%

Polymarket

$700,587 Vol.

Market icon

Karen Bass

$21,325 Vol.

41%

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Nithya Raman

$3,606 Vol.

36%

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Spencer Pratt

$36,111 Vol.

12%

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Rae Huang

$9,420 Vol.

3%

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Gina Viola

$75,460 Vol.

2%

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Rick Caruso

$423,702 Vol.

1%

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Asaad Alnajjar

$27,755 Vol.

1%

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Adam Miller

$81,434 Vol.

<1%

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Austin Beutner

$4,969 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Monica Rodriguez

$2,280 Vol.

<1%

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Lindsey Horvath

$14,524 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 41% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top vote-getter needs over 50% to win outright or advances with the runner-up to November, but recent UC Berkeley/LA Times polling underscores vulnerabilities with her at 25% support amid 56% unfavorable ratings tied to Palisades fire response and persistent homelessness concerns. Progressive Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 36% implied probability after polling 17% with strong appeal to younger and Asian voters on housing affordability, while reality star Spencer Pratt's 11.5% reflects outsider buzz on crime and waste reduction. High undecideds (25%+) and endorsements like LA County Supervisors backing Bass keep the field fluid; upcoming debates and union stances could tip the top-two matchup.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 41% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top vote-getter needs over 50% to win outright or advances with the runner-up to November, but recent UC Berkeley/LA Times polling underscores vulnerabilities with her at 25% support amid 56% unfavorable ratings tied to Palisades fire response and persistent homelessness concerns. Progressive Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 36% implied probability after polling 17% with strong appeal to younger and Asian voters on housing affordability, while reality star Spencer Pratt's 11.5% reflects outsider buzz on crime and waste reduction. High undecideds (25%+) and endorsements like LA County Supervisors backing Bass keep the field fluid; upcoming debates and union stances could tip the top-two matchup.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 41% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top vote-getter needs over 50% to win outright or advances with the runner-up to November, but recent UC Berkeley/LA Times polling underscores vulnerabilities with her at 25% support amid 56% unfavorable ratings tied to Palisades fire response and persistent homelessness concerns. Progressive Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 36% implied probability after polling 17% with strong appeal to younger and Asian voters on housing affordability, while reality star Spencer Pratt's 11.5% reflects outsider buzz on crime and waste reduction. High undecideds (25%+) and endorsements like LA County Supervisors backing Bass keep the field fluid; upcoming debates and union stances could tip the top-two matchup.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 41% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top vote-getter needs over 50% to win outright or advances with the runner-up to November, but recent UC Berkeley/LA Times polling underscores vulnerabilities with her at 25% support amid 56% unfavorable ratings tied to Palisades fire response and persistent homelessness concerns. Progressive Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 36% implied probability after polling 17% with strong appeal to younger and Asian voters on housing affordability, while reality star Spencer Pratt's 11.5% reflects outsider buzz on crime and waste reduction. High undecideds (25%+) and endorsements like LA County Supervisors backing Bass keep the field fluid; upcoming debates and union stances could tip the top-two matchup.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Karen Bass" at 41%, followed by "Nithya Raman" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" has generated $700.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is "Karen Bass" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nithya Raman" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.