In Bolivia's subnational elections on March 22, 2026, Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria Sol secured first place with 21.5% in the La Paz governor race, advancing to a runoff against René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica, who took second at around 9%. The Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) recently annulled the second round after NGP submitted a declinatoria withdrawing Yahuasi, proclaiming Revilla governor-elect per Ley 026, as confirmed in the past 24 hours. This procedural resolution under Bolivia's electoral system explains Revilla's 68% implied probability among traders, while Yahuasi holds 18.1% amid his appeal pledge and protest threats; Richard Andrés Gómez lingers at 8.3% as third-place finisher. Legal challenges could still influence final certification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
René Yahuasi Calamani 4.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 3.7%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 1.1%
Germán Riveros <1%
$32,023 Vol.
$32,023 Vol.
René Yahuasi Calamani
18%
Richard Andrés Gómez
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
<1%
Demetrio Villca
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Felix Patzi
<1%
Luis Antonio Revilla
68%
René Yahuasi Calamani 4.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 3.7%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 1.1%
Germán Riveros <1%
$32,023 Vol.
$32,023 Vol.
René Yahuasi Calamani
18%
Richard Andrés Gómez
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
<1%
Demetrio Villca
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Felix Patzi
<1%
Luis Antonio Revilla
68%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's subnational elections on March 22, 2026, Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria Sol secured first place with 21.5% in the La Paz governor race, advancing to a runoff against René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica, who took second at around 9%. The Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) recently annulled the second round after NGP submitted a declinatoria withdrawing Yahuasi, proclaiming Revilla governor-elect per Ley 026, as confirmed in the past 24 hours. This procedural resolution under Bolivia's electoral system explains Revilla's 68% implied probability among traders, while Yahuasi holds 18.1% amid his appeal pledge and protest threats; Richard Andrés Gómez lingers at 8.3% as third-place finisher. Legal challenges could still influence final certification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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