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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas

Jeff Colyer 38%

Vicki Schmidt 21.6%

Philip Sarnecki 19.0%

Ty Masterson 18%

Polymarket

$31,201 Vol.

Jeff Colyer 38%

Vicki Schmidt 21.6%

Philip Sarnecki 19.0%

Ty Masterson 18%

Polymarket

$31,201 Vol.

Jeff Colyer

$19,900 Vol.

38%

Vicki Schmidt

$344 Vol.

22%

Philip Sarnecki

$1,487 Vol.

19%

Ty Masterson

$8,519 Vol.

18%

Charlotte O’Hara

$615 Vol.

5%

Stacy Rogers

$0 Vol.

4%

Joy Eakins

$336 Vol.

2%

Scott Schwab

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the fragmented Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his prior executive experience finishing Sam Brownback's term, top name recognition from late 2025 surveys, and over $1 million in self-loans bolstering early fundraising. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt trails at 21.5%, leveraging her statewide elected incumbency and record of service, while businessman Philip Sarnecki (18.8%) appeals as an outsider with self-financing and job-creation credentials, and Senate President Ty Masterson (17%) draws on legislative leadership. A March report highlighted Colyer's campaign momentum, following January disclosures of robust GOP fundraising and a January debate where candidates sparred but unified on conservative priorities like taxes and education, with the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary looming.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$31,201
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the fragmented Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his prior executive experience finishing Sam Brownback's term, top name recognition from late 2025 surveys, and over $1 million in self-loans bolstering early fundraising. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt trails at 21.5%, leveraging her statewide elected incumbency and record of service, while businessman Philip Sarnecki (18.8%) appeals as an outsider with self-financing and job-creation credentials, and Senate President Ty Masterson (17%) draws on legislative leadership. A March report highlighted Colyer's campaign momentum, following January disclosures of robust GOP fundraising and a January debate where candidates sparred but unified on conservative priorities like taxes and education, with the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary looming.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$31,201
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Colyer" at 38%, followed by "Vicki Schmidt" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas" is "Jeff Colyer" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vicki Schmidt" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Kansas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.