Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast projecting exactly that maximum under clear skies and light winds at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history. Current observations confirm steady warming from morning lows around 13°C, with ample solar insolation from a stable high-pressure ridge aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus within 1°C. Early April climatology supports this, as typical highs hover 20–22°C but today's conditions favor mild heating. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clouds limiting peaks to 23°C or extended sunshine pushing to 25°C; intraday station updates will clarify before end-of-day resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,500 Vol.
$77,500 Vol.
1 abr 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,500 Vol.
$77,500 Vol.
1 abr 2026
24°C
$6,396 Vol.
100%
25°C
$5,800 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,873 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$3,775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast projecting exactly that maximum under clear skies and light winds at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history. Current observations confirm steady warming from morning lows around 13°C, with ample solar insolation from a stable high-pressure ridge aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus within 1°C. Early April climatology supports this, as typical highs hover 20–22°C but today's conditions favor mild heating. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clouds limiting peaks to 23°C or extended sunshine pushing to 25°C; intraday station updates will clarify before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$77,500Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast projecting exactly that maximum under clear skies and light winds at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history. Current observations confirm steady warming from morning lows around 13°C, with ample solar insolation from a stable high-pressure ridge aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus within 1°C. Early April climatology supports this, as typical highs hover 20–22°C but today's conditions favor mild heating. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clouds limiting peaks to 23°C or extended sunshine pushing to 25°C; intraday station updates will clarify before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,500Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast projecting exactly that maximum under clear skies and light winds at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history. Current observations confirm steady warming from morning lows around 13°C, with ample solar insolation from a stable high-pressure ridge aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus within 1°C. Early April climatology supports this, as typical highs hover 20–22°C but today's conditions favor mild heating. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clouds limiting peaks to 23°C or extended sunshine pushing to 25°C; intraday station updates will clarify before end-of-day resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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