Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 around 23°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at a 29.5% implied probability amid a spread of 18–26°C across members. This reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range weather prediction, particularly variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin—which often suppresses daytime highs via persistent stratus—and potential afternoon convective development or frontal passages that could alter solar insolation and peak heating. Late March saw fluctuating highs of 19–25°C per CMA observations, consistent with early spring patterns where southerly flows boost warmth but moisture-laden air caps temperatures. Historical early-April averages hover near 21–22°C; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
23°C 30%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
19%
25°C
12%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
3%
23°C 30%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
17°C or below
$412 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,955 Vol.
2%
19°C
$655 Vol.
5%
20°C
$48 Vol.
11%
21°C
$18 Vol.
11%
22°C
$79 Vol.
18%
23°C
$14 Vol.
30%
24°C
$13 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
12%
26°C
$5 Vol.
12%
27°C or higher
$235 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 around 23°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at a 29.5% implied probability amid a spread of 18–26°C across members. This reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range weather prediction, particularly variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin—which often suppresses daytime highs via persistent stratus—and potential afternoon convective development or frontal passages that could alter solar insolation and peak heating. Late March saw fluctuating highs of 19–25°C per CMA observations, consistent with early spring patterns where southerly flows boost warmth but moisture-laden air caps temperatures. Historical early-April averages hover near 21–22°C; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$3,438Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 around 23°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at a 29.5% implied probability amid a spread of 18–26°C across members. This reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range weather prediction, particularly variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin—which often suppresses daytime highs via persistent stratus—and potential afternoon convective development or frontal passages that could alter solar insolation and peak heating. Late March saw fluctuating highs of 19–25°C per CMA observations, consistent with early spring patterns where southerly flows boost warmth but moisture-laden air caps temperatures. Historical early-April averages hover near 21–22°C; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,438Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 around 23°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at a 29.5% implied probability amid a spread of 18–26°C across members. This reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range weather prediction, particularly variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin—which often suppresses daytime highs via persistent stratus—and potential afternoon convective development or frontal passages that could alter solar insolation and peak heating. Late March saw fluctuating highs of 19–25°C per CMA observations, consistent with early spring patterns where southerly flows boost warmth but moisture-laden air caps temperatures. Historical early-April averages hover near 21–22°C; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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