Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 20°C (68°F) around midday, under partly sunny skies following morning fog and light winds from the east. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models forecasting 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover capping daytime heating, consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average high of 18–19°C. Trader sentiment at 100% reflects this verified meteorological data as ground truth, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument calibration issues or post-audit discrepancies from China Meteorological Administration reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$318,601 Vol.
$318,601 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$318,601 Vol.
$318,601 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 20°C (68°F) around midday, under partly sunny skies following morning fog and light winds from the east. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models forecasting 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover capping daytime heating, consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average high of 18–19°C. Trader sentiment at 100% reflects this verified meteorological data as ground truth, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument calibration issues or post-audit discrepancies from China Meteorological Administration reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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