Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?

abr 3

abr 4

abr 5

abr 6

abr 3

abr 4

abr 5

abr 6

20°C 36%

21°C 30%

19°C 14%

22°C 9.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

20°C 36%

21°C 30%

19°C 14%

22°C 9.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

13°C ou menos

$483 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$1,308 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$2,124 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$1,488 Vol.

2%

17°C

$636 Vol.

8%

18°C

$432 Vol.

6%

19°C

$309 Vol.

14%

20°C

$393 Vol.

36%

21°C

$1,141 Vol.

30%

22°C

$743 Vol.

9%

23°C ou mais

$476 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,488
Data de Término
5 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,488
Data de Término
5 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20°C" at 36%, followed by "21°C" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?" is "20°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.