Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum air temperature measurement of 29°C on April 7, 2026—recorded at its headquarters amid hot conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from precision instruments. This aligns with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, where climatological averages hover around 26°C, and recent press updates noted expected highs in the 26–30°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty are exceedingly rare, such as an official data revision from equipment malfunction or reanalysis, but HKO records are authoritative for market resolution with no such indications.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 7?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$109,235 Vol.
$109,235 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$109,235 Vol.
$109,235 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum air temperature measurement of 29°C on April 7, 2026—recorded at its headquarters amid hot conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from precision instruments. This aligns with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, where climatological averages hover around 26°C, and recent press updates noted expected highs in the 26–30°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty are exceedingly rare, such as an official data revision from equipment malfunction or reanalysis, but HKO records are authoritative for market resolution with no such indications.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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