Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 17°C (27%) and 18°C (25%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs in the 16-19°C range at Pudong Airport station. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southeasterly winds around 15 km/h moderating warm air advection, and 50% precipitation odds potentially suppressing peaks via evaporative cooling. Compared to historical April averages near 19°C, current guidance trends slightly cooler due to mid-level moisture persistence over the past 48 hours. Uncertainty remains high three days out; monitor daily CMA bulletins and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
17°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
16%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
17°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
16%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 17°C (27%) and 18°C (25%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs in the 16-19°C range at Pudong Airport station. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southeasterly winds around 15 km/h moderating warm air advection, and 50% precipitation odds potentially suppressing peaks via evaporative cooling. Compared to historical April averages near 19°C, current guidance trends slightly cooler due to mid-level moisture persistence over the past 48 hours. Uncertainty remains high three days out; monitor daily CMA bulletins and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions