MetService's latest forecast issued April 5 pegs Wellington's highest temperature on April 9 at 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and northwesterlies easing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 20.5% implied probability while keeping 20°C (18%) and 21°C (15.5%) close contenders. This above-average projection—April climatological highs average 16°C—stems from a transitional autumnal pattern favoring mild northerlies, but uncertainty arises from cloud persistence, shower timing, and Wellington's coastal wind regime, which can cap peaks via sea breeze moderation or boost them with clearer intervals. Daily forecast updates from MetService through April 8 will refine model consensus on these differentiating factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 9?
19°C 22%
20°C 18%
22°C or higher 16%
18°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
9 abr 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
22%
20°C
18%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
16%
19°C 22%
20°C 18%
22°C or higher 16%
18°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
9 abr 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
13°C
$277 Vol.
1%
14°C
$249 Vol.
1%
15°C
$240 Vol.
7%
16°C
$6 Vol.
14%
17°C
$5 Vol.
11%
18°C
$5 Vol.
16%
19°C
$121 Vol.
22%
20°C
$111 Vol.
18%
21°C
$27 Vol.
15%
22°C or higher
$16 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast issued April 5 pegs Wellington's highest temperature on April 9 at 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and northwesterlies easing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 20.5% implied probability while keeping 20°C (18%) and 21°C (15.5%) close contenders. This above-average projection—April climatological highs average 16°C—stems from a transitional autumnal pattern favoring mild northerlies, but uncertainty arises from cloud persistence, shower timing, and Wellington's coastal wind regime, which can cap peaks via sea breeze moderation or boost them with clearer intervals. Daily forecast updates from MetService through April 8 will refine model consensus on these differentiating factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,184Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast issued April 5 pegs Wellington's highest temperature on April 9 at 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and northwesterlies easing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 20.5% implied probability while keeping 20°C (18%) and 21°C (15.5%) close contenders. This above-average projection—April climatological highs average 16°C—stems from a transitional autumnal pattern favoring mild northerlies, but uncertainty arises from cloud persistence, shower timing, and Wellington's coastal wind regime, which can cap peaks via sea breeze moderation or boost them with clearer intervals. Daily forecast updates from MetService through April 8 will refine model consensus on these differentiating factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,184Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast issued April 5 pegs Wellington's highest temperature on April 9 at 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and northwesterlies easing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 20.5% implied probability while keeping 20°C (18%) and 21°C (15.5%) close contenders. This above-average projection—April climatological highs average 16°C—stems from a transitional autumnal pattern favoring mild northerlies, but uncertainty arises from cloud persistence, shower timing, and Wellington's coastal wind regime, which can cap peaks via sea breeze moderation or boost them with clearer intervals. Daily forecast updates from MetService through April 8 will refine model consensus on these differentiating factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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