MetService's latest forecast update, issued April 3 at 1:51pm, projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—under partly cloudy skies with northeasterlies developing, reflecting a stable high-pressure ridge delivering above-average autumn warmth (seasonal norms around 17°C). Trader consensus narrowly favors 21°C (27.5%) over 20°C (23%) and 19°C (18%), driven by ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF showing potential for reduced cloud cover boosting insolation or slight warm-air advection, versus risks of persistent stratocumulus capping peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud and light onshore flow moderating temperatures; weekend forecast refinements could tip the balance as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 28%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 28%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast update, issued April 3 at 1:51pm, projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—under partly cloudy skies with northeasterlies developing, reflecting a stable high-pressure ridge delivering above-average autumn warmth (seasonal norms around 17°C). Trader consensus narrowly favors 21°C (27.5%) over 20°C (23%) and 19°C (18%), driven by ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF showing potential for reduced cloud cover boosting insolation or slight warm-air advection, versus risks of persistent stratocumulus capping peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud and light onshore flow moderating temperatures; weekend forecast refinements could tip the balance as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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