Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing highs of 12–13°C under sunny intervals with westerly breezes of 13–23 mph gusts and 40–50% rain chances. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation for 12°C outcomes versus clearer skies boosting peaks to 14°C, alongside wind chill lowering feels-like temperatures to 9–12°C; model ensembles like ECMWF indicate low confidence beyond 48 hours due to shifting Atlantic low-pressure influences. Climatological April averages hover near 13°C, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as Easter weekend unsettled patterns evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 35%
12°C 25%
14°C 18%
15°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
25%
13°C
35%
14°C
18%
15°C
12%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 25%
14°C 18%
15°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
8°C or below
$403 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$191 Vol.
4%
11°C
$311 Vol.
8%
12°C
$348 Vol.
25%
13°C
$386 Vol.
35%
14°C
$352 Vol.
18%
15°C
$320 Vol.
12%
16°C
$274 Vol.
5%
17°C
$140 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$421 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing highs of 12–13°C under sunny intervals with westerly breezes of 13–23 mph gusts and 40–50% rain chances. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation for 12°C outcomes versus clearer skies boosting peaks to 14°C, alongside wind chill lowering feels-like temperatures to 9–12°C; model ensembles like ECMWF indicate low confidence beyond 48 hours due to shifting Atlantic low-pressure influences. Climatological April averages hover near 13°C, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as Easter weekend unsettled patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,562Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing highs of 12–13°C under sunny intervals with westerly breezes of 13–23 mph gusts and 40–50% rain chances. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation for 12°C outcomes versus clearer skies boosting peaks to 14°C, alongside wind chill lowering feels-like temperatures to 9–12°C; model ensembles like ECMWF indicate low confidence beyond 48 hours due to shifting Atlantic low-pressure influences. Climatological April averages hover near 13°C, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as Easter weekend unsettled patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,562Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing highs of 12–13°C under sunny intervals with westerly breezes of 13–23 mph gusts and 40–50% rain chances. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation for 12°C outcomes versus clearer skies boosting peaks to 14°C, alongside wind chill lowering feels-like temperatures to 9–12°C; model ensembles like ECMWF indicate low confidence beyond 48 hours due to shifting Atlantic low-pressure influences. Climatological April averages hover near 13°C, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as Easter weekend unsettled patterns evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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