The Central Weather Administration's April 5 forecast projects a 30°C high in Taipei on April 9 under mostly clear skies, following the passage of two weather fronts through April 6–8 that brought clouds, showers, and temporary cooling to 25–28°C highs. This post-frontal warming stems from high-pressure subsidence and reduced humidity, enabling diurnal peaks above seasonal April averages of 25–26°C. However, discrepancies among global models—GFS and ECMWF ensembles varying 26–33°C—along with potential sea breeze moderation or urban heat effects, fuel trader uncertainty, yielding closely matched implied probabilities clustered around 28–36°C outcomes. Daily CWA updates and April 10–11 projections of 31°C will likely refine sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 9?
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C 26%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
26%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C 26%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's April 5 forecast projects a 30°C high in Taipei on April 9 under mostly clear skies, following the passage of two weather fronts through April 6–8 that brought clouds, showers, and temporary cooling to 25–28°C highs. This post-frontal warming stems from high-pressure subsidence and reduced humidity, enabling diurnal peaks above seasonal April averages of 25–26°C. However, discrepancies among global models—GFS and ECMWF ensembles varying 26–33°C—along with potential sea breeze moderation or urban heat effects, fuel trader uncertainty, yielding closely matched implied probabilities clustered around 28–36°C outcomes. Daily CWA updates and April 10–11 projections of 31°C will likely refine sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions