Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 78-83°F for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, implying roughly 70% probability for above-normal warmth, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a developing upper-level ridge over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced afternoon heating. This builds on March 2026's record heat waves across the South under lingering La Niña patterns, pushing forecasts 7-12°F above the early April climatological normal of 71°F. Differentiating the closely matched leading bins are model spreads in boundary layer moisture and potential low-level cumulus clouds, which could suppress peaks by 2-4°F; NOAA's National Weather Service updates and 00z model runs today will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution using official Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
82-83°F 36%
84°F or higher 30%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
65°F or below
9%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
29%
84°F or higher
23%
82-83°F 36%
84°F or higher 30%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
65°F or below
9%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
29%
84°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 78-83°F for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, implying roughly 70% probability for above-normal warmth, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a developing upper-level ridge over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced afternoon heating. This builds on March 2026's record heat waves across the South under lingering La Niña patterns, pushing forecasts 7-12°F above the early April climatological normal of 71°F. Differentiating the closely matched leading bins are model spreads in boundary layer moisture and potential low-level cumulus clouds, which could suppress peaks by 2-4°F; NOAA's National Weather Service updates and 00z model runs today will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution using official Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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