Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a daytime high of 7°C on April 5 amid cloudy conditions with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping solar insolation following a recent spring-like stretch of double-digit temperatures earlier this week. Trader consensus, however, distributes implied probabilities closely across 8-12°C outcomes—peaking at 22 percent for 8°C and 20.5 percent for 12°C or higher—reflecting ensemble forecast spread where some runs indicate potential afternoon clearing or weaker precipitation, aligning closer to early-April climatological averages of 10-11°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal timing, and upper-level trough strength; monitor tomorrow's 5 a.m. EDT Environment Canada update and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts in this 48-hour outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
8°C 22%
12°C or higher 21%
9°C 17%
11°C 17%
$12,091 Vol.
$12,091 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
5%
7°C
9%
8°C
22%
9°C
17%
10°C
16%
11°C
17%
12°C or higher
21%
8°C 22%
12°C or higher 21%
9°C 17%
11°C 17%
$12,091 Vol.
$12,091 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
5%
7°C
9%
8°C
22%
9°C
17%
10°C
16%
11°C
17%
12°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a daytime high of 7°C on April 5 amid cloudy conditions with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping solar insolation following a recent spring-like stretch of double-digit temperatures earlier this week. Trader consensus, however, distributes implied probabilities closely across 8-12°C outcomes—peaking at 22 percent for 8°C and 20.5 percent for 12°C or higher—reflecting ensemble forecast spread where some runs indicate potential afternoon clearing or weaker precipitation, aligning closer to early-April climatological averages of 10-11°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal timing, and upper-level trough strength; monitor tomorrow's 5 a.m. EDT Environment Canada update and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts in this 48-hour outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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