Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68-69°F in Miami on March 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on this range amid a potent cold front ushering northerly winds, low-level clouds, and prefrontal showers. Verified observations from recent days show surface temperatures lagging 5-10°F below seasonal norms (March averages ~78°F), with dewpoints in the 50s°F reinforcing the chill. This positioning aligns with historical cold front precedents in South Florida, where similar setups yield highs in the upper 60s. Realistic challenges include frontal erosion from stronger ridging aloft or delayed precipitation, potentially lifting highs to 72-73°F per outlier Euro model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 18 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 18 de março?
20-21°C 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
63°F ou menos
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
20-21°C
Sim
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Não
20-21°C 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
63°F ou menos
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
20-21°C
Sim
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68-69°F in Miami on March 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on this range amid a potent cold front ushering northerly winds, low-level clouds, and prefrontal showers. Verified observations from recent days show surface temperatures lagging 5-10°F below seasonal norms (March averages ~78°F), with dewpoints in the 50s°F reinforcing the chill. This positioning aligns with historical cold front precedents in South Florida, where similar setups yield highs in the upper 60s. Realistic challenges include frontal erosion from stronger ridging aloft or delayed precipitation, potentially lifting highs to 72-73°F per outlier Euro model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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