Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 86-89°F in Dallas on March 26, with 86-87°F at 49.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains. This high-pressure system promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and above-normal temperatures, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF converging on mid-to-upper 80s peaks amid light southerly winds. Recent 00Z model runs on March 24-25 reinforced this outlook, up from earlier projections near 80°F, as a departing front clears the region. Historical March highs average 68-72°F, making this anomalously warm, though minor uncertainty remains from potential diurnally driven cumulus clouds or slight timing shifts in ridge axis; next NWS updates expected by March 26 morning will refine resolution near DFW's official observing site.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
30-31°C 50%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
32-33°C 3.5%
$40,341 Vol.
$40,341 Vol.
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
50%
88-89°F
33%
32-33°C
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
30-31°C 50%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
32-33°C 3.5%
$40,341 Vol.
$40,341 Vol.
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
50%
88-89°F
33%
32-33°C
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 86-89°F in Dallas on March 26, with 86-87°F at 49.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains. This high-pressure system promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and above-normal temperatures, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF converging on mid-to-upper 80s peaks amid light southerly winds. Recent 00Z model runs on March 24-25 reinforced this outlook, up from earlier projections near 80°F, as a departing front clears the region. Historical March highs average 68-72°F, making this anomalously warm, though minor uncertainty remains from potential diurnally driven cumulus clouds or slight timing shifts in ridge axis; next NWS updates expected by March 26 morning will refine resolution near DFW's official observing site.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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