Traders overwhelmingly back 21°C (87% implied probability) for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts predicting a daytime peak of 20-22°C under mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. This aligns with March climatology—historical highs average 19-21°C—tempered by recent observations showing daytime maxima of 20-22°C over the past week amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Sub-1% odds for 23°C+ reflect model consensus avoiding heat advection, while low 20°C support (0.1%) accounts for minimal nocturnal cooling risks; traders eye intraday station data from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
21°C 84%
22°C 8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,556 Vol.
$38,556 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
84%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 84%
22°C 8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,556 Vol.
$38,556 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
84%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 21°C (87% implied probability) for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts predicting a daytime peak of 20-22°C under mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. This aligns with March climatology—historical highs average 19-21°C—tempered by recent observations showing daytime maxima of 20-22°C over the past week amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Sub-1% odds for 23°C+ reflect model consensus avoiding heat advection, while low 20°C support (0.1%) accounts for minimal nocturnal cooling risks; traders eye intraday station data from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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