Georgia's 13th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides, including incumbent David Scott's 72%-28% victory over Jonathan Chavez in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent March polling shows a tight Democratic primary—Scott at 31%, state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 30%—ahead of the May 19 vote and potential June runoff, but forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. The Republican primary features presumptive nominee Chavez, who underperformed previously. Scenarios to upend this include a damaging Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGA-13 House Election Winner
GA-13 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides, including incumbent David Scott's 72%-28% victory over Jonathan Chavez in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent March polling shows a tight Democratic primary—Scott at 31%, state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 30%—ahead of the May 19 vote and potential June runoff, but forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. The Republican primary features presumptive nominee Chavez, who underperformed previously. Scenarios to upend this include a damaging Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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