Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from March 24-31 (64% implied probability), driven by his recent rebound after a slow start to the period. Through March 29, the pace averaged about eight posts per day (47 total over six days), below his 2025 daily average of 18, consistent with the prior week's resolution near 80 posts for March 17-24. However, a surge to 28 posts on March 29—largely warnings about Iran potentially disrupting the Strait of Hormuz and allied warship deployments—signals heightened activity amid escalating foreign policy tensions, boosting expectations for accelerated posting through March 30-31 to reach 100+. Next-highest odds on 80-99 (17%) account for possible moderation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado100-119 64%
80-99 18%
120-139 15%
140-159 1.8%
$475,444 Vol.
$475,444 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
18%
100-119
64%
120-139
15%
140-159
2%
160-179
1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
100-119 64%
80-99 18%
120-139 15%
140-159 1.8%
$475,444 Vol.
$475,444 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
18%
100-119
64%
120-139
15%
140-159
2%
160-179
1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 100-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from March 24-31 (64% implied probability), driven by his recent rebound after a slow start to the period. Through March 29, the pace averaged about eight posts per day (47 total over six days), below his 2025 daily average of 18, consistent with the prior week's resolution near 80 posts for March 17-24. However, a surge to 28 posts on March 29—largely warnings about Iran potentially disrupting the Strait of Hormuz and allied warship deployments—signals heightened activity amid escalating foreign policy tensions, boosting expectations for accelerated posting through March 30-31 to reach 100+. Next-highest odds on 80-99 (17%) account for possible moderation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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