Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.9%

Jon Ossoff 5.2%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$971,761,076 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.9%

Jon Ossoff 5.2%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$971,761,076 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$18,164,852 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$7,284,637 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$7,253,389 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$9,049,935 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,692,242 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$6,124,565 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$7,383,784 Vol.

3%

Market icon

James Talarico

$5,598,476 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$11,774,278 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$12,913,113 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$11,931,897 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$5,415,105 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,746,282 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,422,363 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$22,089,064 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,841,696 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,532,241 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$43,934,712 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,600,930 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$18,059,875 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,186,502 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,197,629 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,268,398 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$33,680,138 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,840,546 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,516,478 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$26,430,092 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,616,155 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$37,261,273 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$33,285,322 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,959,048 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,882,369 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$39,017,612 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,700,586 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$25,447,430 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$38,139,857 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$26,374,394 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$28,068,260 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$33,641,499 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$34,023,713 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$23,562,746 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$32,065,935 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$40,129,393 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$32,657,158 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.6% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a fresh Washington insider survey positioning him as the party's top leader amid Donald Trump's second term, alongside his national profile as a Trump critic and strong fundraising network. The wide-open field reflects post-2024 recalibrations, with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7.9% drawing progressive enthusiasm and Sen. Jon Ossoff at 5.2% benefiting from Georgia swing-state credentials and youth appeal, while former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.0% despite some polls showing higher support. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling in Iowa and New Hampshire, donor commitments, and party endorsements, as no incumbent or clear frontrunner dominates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$971,761,076
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.6% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a fresh Washington insider survey positioning him as the party's top leader amid Donald Trump's second term, alongside his national profile as a Trump critic and strong fundraising network. The wide-open field reflects post-2024 recalibrations, with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7.9% drawing progressive enthusiasm and Sen. Jon Ossoff at 5.2% benefiting from Georgia swing-state credentials and youth appeal, while former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.0% despite some polls showing higher support. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling in Iowa and New Hampshire, donor commitments, and party endorsements, as no incumbent or clear frontrunner dominates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$971,761,076
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $971.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.