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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.2%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$971,295,440 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.2%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$971,295,440 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$18,161,690 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$7,238,695 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,243,138 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$9,048,963 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,691,254 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,124,518 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$7,358,792 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,590,655 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$11,724,027 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,912,019 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,931,897 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,415,096 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,746,282 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,422,363 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,089,064 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,841,611 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,532,235 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,934,351 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,600,207 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,059,875 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,185,563 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,195,399 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,268,268 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,677,392 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,839,172 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,516,478 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,430,092 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,613,229 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,259,695 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,284,177 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,945,050 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,866,746 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,001,726 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,685,513 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,445,202 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,035,958 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,374,394 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,047,708 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,629,194 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,014,923 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$23,543,005 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,049,337 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,115,830 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,631,253 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 25%, reflecting his recent surge in national polls and a fresh Washington insider survey positioning him as the party's strongest voice against President Trump's second term. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5% benefits from youth and Senate visibility; Kamala Harris languishes at 4% post-2024 loss. The wide-open field lacks declared candidates, with Newsom differentiated by donor gains and Trump critiques, but consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, early primary state polling, key endorsements, or post-midterm announcements shifting momentum toward swing-state governors or battleground senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$971,295,440
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 25%, reflecting his recent surge in national polls and a fresh Washington insider survey positioning him as the party's strongest voice against President Trump's second term. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5% benefits from youth and Senate visibility; Kamala Harris languishes at 4% post-2024 loss. The wide-open field lacks declared candidates, with Newsom differentiated by donor gains and Trump critiques, but consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, early primary state polling, key endorsements, or post-midterm announcements shifting momentum toward swing-state governors or battleground senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$971,295,440
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $971.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.