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Política·Columbia

Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar

Market icon
Política·Columbia

Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar

Centro Democrático (CD) 97.4%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 2.7%

Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH) 1.6%

Coligação MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) <1%

Polymarket

$100,758 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD) 97.4%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 2.7%

Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH) 1.6%

Coligação MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) <1%

Polymarket

$100,758 Vol.

Market icon

Centro Democrático (CD)

$11,174 Vol.

97%

Market icon

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$25,663 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH)

$56,587 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Coligação MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)

$2,071 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador)

$1,324 Vol.

<1%

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Cambio Radical (CR)

$1,462 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Aliança Verde (AV)

$1,003 Vol.

<1%

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Partido de la U (La U)

$1,474 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, as reported by the Registraduría Nacional and confirmed in subsequent bulletins, position Centro Democrático (CD) with the second-greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Representatives behind Historic Pact for Colombia (PH), ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) and others in a fragmented congress. Low voter turnout and CD's strong performance in key regions like Antioquia and overseas voting solidified this edge, driving trader consensus to 97.5% implied probability on CD for second place per Polymarket's seat-based resolution via the National Electoral Council (CNE). While official certification proceeds without major disputes, potential challenges include recounts in contested districts or judicial rulings on special constituencies like peace seats or expatriates that could narrow CD's lead to PLC. Presidential primaries held concurrently underscore the opposition's momentum ahead of May voting.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$100,758
Data de Término
8 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, as reported by the Registraduría Nacional and confirmed in subsequent bulletins, position Centro Democrático (CD) with the second-greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Representatives behind Historic Pact for Colombia (PH), ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) and others in a fragmented congress. Low voter turnout and CD's strong performance in key regions like Antioquia and overseas voting solidified this edge, driving trader consensus to 97.5% implied probability on CD for second place per Polymarket's seat-based resolution via the National Electoral Council (CNE). While official certification proceeds without major disputes, potential challenges include recounts in contested districts or judicial rulings on special constituencies like peace seats or expatriates that could narrow CD's lead to PLC. Presidential primaries held concurrently underscore the opposition's momentum ahead of May voting.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$100,758
Data de Término
8 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 97%, followed by "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" has generated $100.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" is "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.