In Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, the Cochabamba governor race drew ten candidates in a fragmented field, with official Tribunal Electoral Departamental results on March 28 proclaiming Leonardo Loza of Alianza Unidos por los Pueblos the first-round winner at 40.05%, ahead of second-place rival at ~24% and Alejandro Mostajo Rueda third at 14.22%. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Mostajo at 16.9% among challengers, driven by his vocal fraud allegations of rural vote coercion and data discrepancies, echoed by Loza's camp, amid OAS preliminary observations of transparency issues. Mostajo differentiates via his Movimiento Tercer Sistema anti-corruption platform targeting urban discontent, while Juan Roberth Flores trails with cívico leadership credentials. Consolidation could stem from TSE appeals overturning results, prompting a rerun, or opposition vote shifts if irregularities prompt recounts before April deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 16.9%
Juan Roberth Flores 5.8%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 3.0%
Mario Enrique Severich 2.1%
$22,832 Vol.
$22,832 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
17%
Juan Roberth Flores
6%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Mario Enrique Severich
2%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
2%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
2%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 16.9%
Juan Roberth Flores 5.8%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 3.0%
Mario Enrique Severich 2.1%
$22,832 Vol.
$22,832 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
17%
Juan Roberth Flores
6%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Mario Enrique Severich
2%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
2%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
2%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, the Cochabamba governor race drew ten candidates in a fragmented field, with official Tribunal Electoral Departamental results on March 28 proclaiming Leonardo Loza of Alianza Unidos por los Pueblos the first-round winner at 40.05%, ahead of second-place rival at ~24% and Alejandro Mostajo Rueda third at 14.22%. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Mostajo at 16.9% among challengers, driven by his vocal fraud allegations of rural vote coercion and data discrepancies, echoed by Loza's camp, amid OAS preliminary observations of transparency issues. Mostajo differentiates via his Movimiento Tercer Sistema anti-corruption platform targeting urban discontent, while Juan Roberth Flores trails with cívico leadership credentials. Consolidation could stem from TSE appeals overturning results, prompting a rerun, or opposition vote shifts if irregularities prompt recounts before April deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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