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Política·Primárias

CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Política·Primárias

CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Manny Rutinel 75%

Shannon Bird 16%

Yadira Caraveo 2.0%

Dave Young 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,500 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 75%

Shannon Bird 16%

Yadira Caraveo 2.0%

Dave Young 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,500 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$7,252 Vol.

75%

Shannon Bird

$1,104 Vol.

16%

Yadira Caraveo

$382 Vol.

2%

Dave Young

$660 Vol.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$663 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$439 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant 75% implied probability in the June 30 Colorado 8th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his standout first-quarter fundraising, announcing nearly $950,000 raised as of April 2—outpacing rivals and fueling trader consensus on his frontrunner status in this battleground race to challenge Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 16.5%, bolstered by Majority Leader Monica Duran's endorsement on March 4, while ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo languishes at 2.1% after suspending her bid in September 2025 and state Treasurer Dave Young exiting in December. With no public polls yet, markets hinge on FEC-reported cash advantages, endorsements, and momentum ahead of June 8 mail ballots, in a contest Cook Political Report frames as primarily Rutinel versus Bird.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,500
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant 75% implied probability in the June 30 Colorado 8th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his standout first-quarter fundraising, announcing nearly $950,000 raised as of April 2—outpacing rivals and fueling trader consensus on his frontrunner status in this battleground race to challenge Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 16.5%, bolstered by Majority Leader Monica Duran's endorsement on March 4, while ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo languishes at 2.1% after suspending her bid in September 2025 and state Treasurer Dave Young exiting in December. With no public polls yet, markets hinge on FEC-reported cash advantages, endorsements, and momentum ahead of June 8 mail ballots, in a contest Cook Political Report frames as primarily Rutinel versus Bird.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,500
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manny Rutinel" at 75%, followed by "Shannon Bird" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Manny Rutinel" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shannon Bird" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.