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Party Switching predictions & odds

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Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

63%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$120K today

$486K Liq.

190

Ends in 4 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$314K Liq.

53

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$544K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

83%

Caroline Elliott

$190K Vol.

$129K Liq.

6

Ends in 13 days

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

98%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$3M Vol.

$357K Liq.

3

Ends in 17 days

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

31

Ends in 6 months

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

87%

$11.2K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

33%

30-34

$501 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$89 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

47%

35-39

$145 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

13%

$1.5K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

18%

$4.8K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

97%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$44.2K Vol.

$112K Liq.

2

Ends in 17 days

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

8%

$6.1K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

53%

Independent/Technocrat

$16.6K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

<1%

110+

$375K Vol.

$100.0K Liq.

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

7%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$532K Vol.

$158K Liq.

14

Ends in 14 days

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$190K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

Civil Contract

$191K Vol.

$301K Liq.

10

Ends in 21 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Party Switching.

Polymarket currently hosts 1275 active markets for Party Switching that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon register any party before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Party Switching predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.